SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
43.73% ( -1.77) | 27.26% ( 0.54) | 29.01% ( 1.23) |
| Both teams to score 48.14% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.04% ( -1.42) | 56.95% ( 1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.14% ( -1.15) | 77.86% ( 1.15) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( -1.52) | 25.86% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% ( -2.1) | 60.83% ( 2.1) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.93% ( 0.2) | 35.07% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.18% ( 0.21) | 71.81% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.73% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.11% Total : 29.01% |
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