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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
A

Famalicao
1 - 0
Arouca

Otavio (28')
Otavio (16'), Riccieli (39'), Aranda (45+1'), Aguirregabiria (51')
Riccieli (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jason (20'), Galovic (64')
Mujica (77'), Ramos (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, September 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Famalicao 1-1 Arouca

Famalicao have kept things tight at the back so far this season, with Sousa's side yet to concede more than one goal in a game, so we do not expect the game to be a high-scoring affair. Arouca have not been in the best of form, failing to win in their last five games, but they have a very good recent record against Fama, so we think the spoils will be shared on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 25.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawArouca
48.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 25.13% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.12% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (0.012999999999998 0.01)54.33% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28% (0.012 0.01)75.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76%22.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.33% (0.0010000000000048 0)55.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)36.83% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)73.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 48.91%
    Arouca 25.13%
    Draw 25.94%
FamalicaoDrawArouca
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.91%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.18%
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 25.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, September 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Farense
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Moreirense
Monday, August 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Famalicao
Friday, August 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: CF Os Belenenses 3-2 Famalicao
Sunday, July 23 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Portimonense
Saturday, August 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Arouca
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Brann 3-1 Arouca
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Arouca 4-3 Estoril
Sunday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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