Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Santa Clara in this match.
-1.04) 
0.16) 
