SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
30.25% ( -0.21) | 28.03% ( -0.02) | 41.72% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.72% ( -0.01) | 59.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.31% ( -0.01) | 79.68% ( 0.01) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( -0.17) | 35.36% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.88% ( -0.17) | 72.12% ( 0.17) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( 0.12) | 28.01% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.35% ( 0.15) | 63.65% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.25% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 41.71% |
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