Santa Clara and Vitoria de Guimaraes have enjoyed a solid start to the Primeira Liga campaign and find themselves level on points in the top half of the league standings.
While both sides will look to get one over the other and strengthen their position in the table, Os Vimaranenses are unbeaten in seven of their last eight encounters and we fancy them to come away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
-0.21) 
0.23) 
