SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Santa Clara |
30.42% ( 0.65) | 26.18% ( 0.22) | 43.4% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( -0.62) | 52.23% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.06% ( -0.54) | 73.94% ( 0.54) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.45% ( 0.15) | 31.55% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.05% ( 0.17) | 67.95% ( -0.17) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( -0.69) | 23.91% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.88% ( -1) | 58.12% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.42% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.4% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
