SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 14.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Leixoes win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leixoes | Draw | Braga |
14.36% ( 0.03) | 21.63% ( 0.1) | 64.01% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 44.81% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.89% ( -0.33) | 51.11% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( -0.29) | 72.96% ( 0.29) |
| Leixoes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.92% ( -0.15) | 47.08% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.45% ( -0.12) | 82.55% ( 0.12) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( -0.15) | 15.32% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.94% ( -0.29) | 44.06% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leixoes | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 3.84% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.17% Total : 14.36% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 12.69% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.94% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 64.01% |
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