SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Braga |
29.6% ( 0.04) | 23.74% ( 0.03) | 46.66% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.75% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.01% ( -0.13) | 41.99% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.6% ( -0.13) | 64.39% ( 0.13) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( -0.03) | 26.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( -0.05) | 62.26% ( 0.05) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( -0.08) | 18.22% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.76% ( -0.13) | 49.23% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.6% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.66% |
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