SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Porto |
34.1% ( -0.03) | 24.41% ( 0) | 41.49% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.42% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.69% ( -0.02) | 43.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.29% ( -0.02) | 65.71% ( 0.03) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( -0.03) | 24.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% ( -0.04) | 59.38% ( 0.04) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 0) | 20.98% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.25% ( 0) | 53.75% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Porto |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 34.1% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.49% |
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