Revenge could be served lukewarm in Leverkusen, as the hosts will strike back just a week after their defeat at the Dragao. With an exciting new era afoot under highly-rated boss Xabi Alonso, optimism can ignite a performance to lift the hosts back above Porto in the standings.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
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