Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
