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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Chornomorets Stadium

Chornomorets
0 - 1
Desna


Vanat (40'), Vachiberadze (48'), Vantukh (59'), Dubko (86'), Isaienko (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Totovytsky (27')
Bolbat (32')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Desna Chernihiv in this match.

Result
Chornomorets OdesaDrawDesna Chernihiv
30.27%24.95%44.78%
Both teams to score 56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89%47.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65%69.35%
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95%29.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.04%64.96%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92%21.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1%53.9%
Score Analysis
    Chornomorets Odesa 30.27%
    Desna Chernihiv 44.78%
    Draw 24.95%
Chornomorets OdesaDrawDesna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 7.57%
2-1 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 4.68%
3-1 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.27%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 9.17%
0-2 @ 7.42%
1-3 @ 4.76%
0-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 1.85%
0-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.78%

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