Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Desna Chernihiv in this match.