Shakhtar
4 - 1
Desna

Solomon (9'), Sudakov (27'), Tete (62'), Fernando (63')
Stepanenko (51'), Bondar (70')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bezborodko (23')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Desna Chernihiv
49.94%	24.01%	26.05%

Both teams to score 56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.32%

45.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32%

68%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.65%

18.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.53%

49.46%

Desna Chernihiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59%

31.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22%

67.78%

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 49.94%

Desna Chernihiv 26.05%

Draw 24%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Desna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.43% Total : 49.94%	1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 5.76% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.05%