SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 58.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 2-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
20.88% ( -0.04) | 20.95% ( -0.02) | 58.16% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.71% ( 0.06) | 37.29% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.5% ( 0.06) | 59.5% ( -0.06) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% ( -0.01) | 31.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.47% ( -0.01) | 67.53% ( 0.01) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.36% ( 0.04) | 12.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.22% ( 0.08) | 38.78% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 20.88% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.95% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.04% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 58.16% |
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