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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
22.94% ( -0.84) | 25.44% ( 0.68) | 51.62% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 48.38% ( -2.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.83% ( -3.42) | 54.17% ( 3.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( -2.94) | 75.58% ( 2.93) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% ( -2.69) | 38.76% ( 2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.5% ( -2.64) | 75.49% ( 2.64) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( -1.29) | 21% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.21% ( -2.06) | 53.78% ( 2.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Polissya Zhytomyr |
| 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.49% Total : 22.94% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 1.03)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.42)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 12.7% ( 1.16) 0-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.54)1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.32)0-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.43% Total : 51.62% |
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