Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 20.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Mariupol win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Lviv would win this match.
