Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 71.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 10.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.99%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.