SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vorskla Poltava in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inhulets | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
28.08% ( 0.06) | 26.86% ( 0.01) | 45.05% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.07% ( -0.01) | 55.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.96% ( -0.01) | 77.03% ( 0.01) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( 0.04) | 35.25% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.99% ( 0.04) | 72% ( -0.05) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( -0.04) | 24.73% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% ( -0.05) | 59.28% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inhulets | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.08% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.05% |
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