SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 13.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Inhulets |
67.34% ( 0.1) | 19.35% ( -0.07) | 13.32% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.23% ( 0.27) | 43.77% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.84% ( 0.27) | 66.16% ( -0.27) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.97% ( 0.11) | 12.03% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.49% ( 0.23) | 37.51% ( -0.23) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.88% ( 0.13) | 44.12% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.78% ( 0.11) | 80.23% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Inhulets |
| 2-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 67.34% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.86% Total : 19.35% | 0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 13.32% |
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