SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 14 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Vorskla Poltava | 14 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Dnipro-1 | 14 | 7 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dynamo Kiev | 14 | 28 | 35 |
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 14 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Vorskla Poltava | 14 | 12 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%).
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 41.63% | 25.1% | 33.27% |
| Both teams to score 56.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.33% | 46.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.07% | 68.93% |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% | 22.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.16% | 55.84% |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% | 62.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.31% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.89% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.27% |
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