Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.