Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.