Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 1-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
