Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
