Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.54%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
