Nacional
1 - 0
Cerrito

Fernandez (90+3')
Trasante (27'), Candido (47'), Fernandez (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aviles (9'), Rodriguez (35')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerrito.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Cerrito
56.68%	23.92%	19.4%

Both teams to score 48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.8%

52.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.09%

73.91%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75%

18.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.71%

49.29%

Cerrito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.71%

41.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.19%

77.81%

Score Analysis

Nacional 56.67%

Cerrito 19.4%

Draw 23.91%

Nacional	Draw	Cerrito
1-0 @ 12.81% 2-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.67%	1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.91%	0-1 @ 6.66% 1-2 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.4%