Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Cerrito.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerrito in this match.