Cerrito
1 - 3
Penarol

Silvera (1')
Amondarain (60'), Eiraldi (75')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Bentancourt (14', 17', 44')
Ramos (35'), Bentancourt (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerrito and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.45%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Cerrito	Draw	Penarol
15.93%	23.23%	60.83%

Both teams to score 43.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.5%

54.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.15%

75.85%

Cerrito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.1%

46.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.59%

82.41%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.42%

17.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.86%

48.14%

Score Analysis

Cerrito 15.93%

Penarol 60.82%

Draw 23.23%

Cerrito	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 6.24% 2-1 @ 4.11% 2-0 @ 2.36% 3-1 @ 1.04% 3-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.93%	1-1 @ 10.85% 0-0 @ 8.24% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.23%	0-1 @ 14.33% 0-2 @ 12.45% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-3 @ 7.22% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-4 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.24% Total : 60.82%