Wanderers
1 - 3
Progreso

Perez (36')
Macaluso (24'), Barboza (34'), Quagliata (45'), Pereira (68'), (90+3')
Barboza (42')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fernandez (2'), Viega (54'), Gonzalez (61' pen.)
Fernandez (45+1'), Asconeguy (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Progreso
34.57%	27.18%	38.25%

Both teams to score 50.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.81%

55.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58%

76.42%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76%

30.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59%

66.41%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.99%

28.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.35%

63.65%

Score Analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 34.56%

Progreso 38.24%

Draw 27.18%

Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.56%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 10.77% 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.24%