Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Villa Espanola and Progreso.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
