Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.