Nacional
0 - 0
Wanderers

Nacional win 4-1 on penalties

Trasante (78'), Orihuela (79')

FT
(aet)

Martinez (40'), Barreto (49')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%).

Result
Nacional	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
36.45%	27.41%	36.14%

Both teams to score 49.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.99%

56.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.9%

77.1%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53%

29.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52%

65.48%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.33%

29.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.28%

65.71%

Score Analysis

Nacional 36.45%

Montevideo Wanderers 36.13%

Draw 27.41%

Nacional	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.45%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.13%