Cerro Largo
2 - 1
Sud America

Heredia (8'), Brasil (87')
Nunez (44'), Cayetano (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Camarda (17')
Hernandez (27'), Gimenez (34'), Cayetano (83'), (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Sud America.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Sud America win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	Sud America
44.29%	26.77%	28.94%

Both teams to score 49.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.83%

55.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.59%

76.41%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23%

24.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.67%

59.33%

Sud America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.83%

34.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.14%

70.86%

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 44.29%

Sud America 28.94%

Draw 26.76%

Cerro Largo	Draw	Sud America
1-0 @ 11.81% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.29%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.28% Total : 28.94%