Nacional
1 - 2
Cerro Largo

May (76')
Gabrielli (13')
Gabrielli (19')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Otormin (41'), Beltran (65')
Estol (28'), Rodriguez (58'), Cayetano (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro Largo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Cerro Largo
44.53%	27.55%	27.92%

Both teams to score 46.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.49%

58.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.91%

79.08%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84%

26.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.76%

61.23%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.23%

36.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.44%

73.55%

Score Analysis

Nacional 44.52%

Cerro Largo 27.92%

Draw 27.55%

Nacional	Draw	Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 12.89% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.52%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.62% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.55%	0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.92%