Cerro
1 - 2
Danubio

Villar (11')
Izquierdo (44'), Moreira (56'), Tancredi (84'), Lopez (90+2')
Filgueira (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nequecaur (6'), Labandeira (71')
Pineiro (47'), Rodriguez (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Danubio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
Cerro	Draw	Danubio
30.83%	27.64%	41.53%

Both teams to score 47.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.29%

57.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.54%

78.46%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.9%

34.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22%

70.79%

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64%

27.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17%

62.83%

Score Analysis

Cerro 30.82%

Danubio 41.53%

Draw 27.64%

Cerro	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.82%	1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 9.33% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.53%