Danubio
1 - 4
Penarol

Comachi (64')
Mendez (40'), Comachi (59'), Victorino (65'), Monzon (67'), Ichazo (69'), Siles (90+2')
Carrera (46'), Mendez (79')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Britos (11'), Terans (39', 44'), Piquerez (89')
Terans (46')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.27%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Danubio	Draw	Penarol
25.36%	29.36%	45.27%

Both teams to score 40.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.48%

65.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.75%

84.25%

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.05%

42.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.75%

79.25%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89%

29.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97%

65.03%

Score Analysis

Danubio 25.36%

Penarol 45.27%

Draw 29.35%

Danubio	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 5.51% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 1.55% 3-0 @ 1.26% 3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.06% Total : 25.36%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 12.5% 2-2 @ 3.4% Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.35%	0-1 @ 15.43% 0-2 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-3 @ 3.92% 1-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.21% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.42% Total : 45.27%