Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.