Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Sud America win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.