Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Danubio in this match.
