Rentistas
0 - 1
Progreso

Varela (28'), Sosa (56'), Morales (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Colman (18' pen.)
Barboza (69'), Alles (81'), Viera (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Rentistas and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Progreso in this match.

Result
Rentistas	Draw	Progreso
35.92%	27.31%	36.76%

Both teams to score 49.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.38%

55.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.22%

76.78%

Rentistas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39%

29.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36%

65.64%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91%

29.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99%

65.01%

Score Analysis

Rentistas 35.92%

Progreso 36.76%

Draw 27.31%

Rentistas	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.92%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 6.57% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.76%