Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
