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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Nov 11, 2020 at 9.45pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
D

Maldonado
3 - 1
Defensor

Cantera (17'), da Silva (61'), Muniz (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ivanov (3')
Ivanov (11'), Gonzalez (73'), Gonzalez (74')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Defensor Sporting.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawDefensor Sporting
32.44%28.37%39.19%
Both teams to score 46.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.08%59.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.83%80.17%
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9%34.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21%70.78%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25%29.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.18%65.81%
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 32.43%
    Defensor Sporting 39.18%
    Draw 28.37%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 32.43%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.37%
0-1 @ 12.29%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 7.46%
1-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 1.74%
1-4 @ 0.98%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 39.18%


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