Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rampla Juniors | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
21.04% (![]() | 25.62% (![]() | 53.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.35% (![]() | 56.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% (![]() | 77.62% (![]() |
Rampla Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.92% (![]() | 42.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.49% (![]() | 78.51% (![]() |
Defensor Sporting Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% (![]() | 21.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.77% (![]() | 54.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rampla Juniors | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
1-0 @ 7.76% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.04% | 1-1 @ 11.99% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 13.86% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.71% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.28% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.33% |
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