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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Apr 24, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Olimpico
D

Rampla
2 - 1
Defensor

Nunez (14' pen.), Royon (60')
Gorga (43'), Samurio (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elizari (8')
Duarte (39'), Wunsch (80'), Giampaoli (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Rampla Juniors and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 6-2 Rampla
Saturday, April 20 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Defensor
Friday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Rampla JuniorsDrawDefensor Sporting
21.04% (-0.398 -0.4) 25.62% (-0.258 -0.26) 53.34% (0.657 0.66)
Both teams to score 45.58% (0.196 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.35% (0.522 0.52)56.65% (-0.519 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (0.417 0.42)77.62% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)
Rampla Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.92% (-0.114 -0.11)42.08% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.49% (-0.101 -0.1)78.51% (0.104 0.1)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.49300000000001 0.49)21.29% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77% (0.751 0.75)54.23% (-0.75 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Rampla Juniors 21.04%
    Defensor Sporting 53.33%
    Draw 25.62%
Rampla JuniorsDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-1 @ 5.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 21.04%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.96% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 13.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 10.71% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 5.53% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.78% (0.101 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.14% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nacional 6-2 Rampla
Saturday, April 20 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 0-1 Racing
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 3-0 Rampla
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 1-0 Fenix
Saturday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 4-2 Rampla
Wednesday, March 27 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 1-1 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, March 23 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Defensor
Friday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-1 River Plate
Sunday, April 14 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-2 Defensor
Friday, April 5 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Danubio
Saturday, March 30 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 1-0 Defensor
Sunday, March 24 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 3-3 Nacional
Sunday, March 10 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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