SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
21.04% ( -0.4) | 25.62% ( -0.26) | 53.34% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 45.58% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.35% ( 0.52) | 56.65% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.38% ( 0.42) | 77.62% ( -0.42) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.92% ( -0.11) | 42.08% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.49% ( -0.1) | 78.51% ( 0.1) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( 0.49) | 21.29% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.77% ( 0.75) | 54.23% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.04% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 13.86% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 10.71% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.33% |
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