SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Cerro Largo |
44.6% ( -0.61) | 28.25% ( 0.37) | 27.14% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 44.34% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.75% ( -1.1) | 61.25% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.82% ( -0.83) | 81.18% ( 0.83) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( -0.82) | 27.4% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.13% ( -1.08) | 62.87% ( 1.08) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% ( -0.41) | 38.93% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.35% ( -0.39) | 75.65% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.78% Total : 44.59% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.51% Total : 27.14% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
