Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.