Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
