River Plate
1 - 1
Defensor

Arezo (28')
Rodriguez (1'), Olveira (11'), Bonifazi (39'), Piriz (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gonzalez (2')
Rojo (27'), Ivanov (59')
Poggi (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Defensor Sporting.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Defensor Sporting
36.96%	27.98%	35.07%

Both teams to score 47.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.8%

58.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.15%

78.85%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76%

30.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59%

66.41%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.56%

31.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19%

67.82%

Score Analysis

River Plate 36.96%

Defensor Sporting 35.06%

Draw 27.97%

River Plate	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.96%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.06%