Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
