Wanderers
2 - 0
Progreso

Lopez (37'), Rivero (71')
Veglio (39'), Rivero (44'), Wagner (76'), Araujo (84'), Adrian Rolon Benitez (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barboza (42'), Gottesman (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Progreso
39.01%	27.66%	33.33%

Both teams to score 48.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.82%

57.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.96%

78.04%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.48%

28.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.7%

64.3%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.94%

32.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.47%

68.53%

Score Analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 39.01%

Progreso 33.33%

Draw 27.65%

Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.76% Total : 39.01%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.65%	0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.33%