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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Jul 17, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
MW

Cerro Largo
2 - 0
Wanderers

Cayetano (59'), Paiva (90')
Vazquez (77'), Otormin (90+4'), Estol (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Petryk (69'), Araujo (88')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawMontevideo Wanderers
51.89%25.12%22.99%
Both teams to score 49.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.06%52.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.46%74.54%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6%20.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.17%52.83%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.98%38.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.21%74.79%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 51.89%
    Montevideo Wanderers 22.99%
    Draw 25.12%
Cerro LargoDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 12.33%
2-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 5.02%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 2%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 51.89%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.5%
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 22.99%

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