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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.37%) and 1-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
32.53% ( -0.95) | 30.2% ( 1.08) | 37.26% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 41.41% ( -2.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.12% ( -3.54) | 65.87% ( 3.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.5% ( -2.52) | 84.5% ( 2.51) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( -2.61) | 37.26% ( 2.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( -2.67) | 74.04% ( 2.66) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% ( -1.94) | 33.99% ( 1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.32% ( -2.15) | 70.67% ( 2.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.73) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.44)2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.24)Other @ 1.78% Total : 32.52% | 1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 12.66% ( 1.56)2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.44)Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.2% | 0-1 @ 13.66% ( 1.03) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.18)1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.26% |
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