SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Albion had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Albion win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albion | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
27.45% ( 0.2) | 26.14% ( -0.04) | 46.41% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.49% ( 0.26) | 53.5% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% ( 0.22) | 75.02% ( -0.22) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( 0.3) | 34.45% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% ( 0.32) | 71.16% ( -0.32) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( 0.04) | 23.02% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.16% ( 0.05) | 56.84% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albion | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.45% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.4% |
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